Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 9.162415e-05 0.000108 0.000126 0.000147 0.000169 0.000193 0.000220
2024-12-29 6.984194e-05 0.000092 0.000117 0.000147 0.000182 0.000221 0.000267
2025-01-05 5.771171e-05 0.000082 0.000111 0.000147 0.000190 0.000239 0.000298
2025-01-12 4.546279e-05 0.000070 0.000101 0.000142 0.000192 0.000250 0.000323
2025-01-19 4.032415e-05 0.000067 0.000101 0.000146 0.000203 0.000272 0.000358
2025-01-26 3.210401e-05 0.000058 0.000092 0.000140 0.000202 0.000278 0.000375
2025-02-02 2.780768e-05 0.000054 0.000090 0.000141 0.000209 0.000294 0.000403
2025-02-09 2.334252e-05 0.000049 0.000086 0.000140 0.000213 0.000305 0.000426
2025-02-16 2.148234e-05 0.000047 0.000087 0.000145 0.000225 0.000327 0.000461
2025-02-23 1.877522e-05 0.000045 0.000085 0.000146 0.000232 0.000342 0.000489
2025-03-02 1.496491e-05 0.000039 0.000079 0.000141 0.000229 0.000344 0.000500
2025-03-09 1.236561e-05 0.000035 0.000075 0.000138 0.000231 0.000352 0.000518
2025-03-16 1.014742e-05 0.000032 0.000072 0.000138 0.000235 0.000365 0.000544
2025-03-23 8.621509e-06 0.000030 0.000071 0.000140 0.000243 0.000383 0.000577
2025-03-30 6.893347e-06 0.000027 0.000068 0.000138 0.000246 0.000394 0.000600
2025-04-06 5.149264e-06 0.000024 0.000063 0.000134 0.000245 0.000399 0.000617
2025-04-13 4.499504e-06 0.000023 0.000063 0.000138 0.000255 0.000419 0.000653
2025-04-20 3.174100e-06 0.000020 0.000059 0.000133 0.000252 0.000422 0.000665
2025-04-27 2.548313e-06 0.000018 0.000057 0.000134 0.000258 0.000436 0.000694
2025-05-04 1.907806e-06 0.000017 0.000055 0.000132 0.000260 0.000446 0.000716
2025-05-11 1.709767e-06 0.000016 0.000056 0.000137 0.000273 0.000469 0.000757
2025-05-18 1.354664e-06 0.000015 0.000055 0.000138 0.000279 0.000485 0.000787
2025-05-25 8.269050e-07 0.000013 0.000051 0.000133 0.000275 0.000485 0.000796